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3 policy-aligned progressives vie to replace U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer in 3rd Congressional District

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Saturday, April 27, 2024

The trio of progressive Portland-area Democrats leading the race to succeed U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer in Congress are barely distinguishable from each other when it comes to policy positions.But each of the candidates say they have a track record and leadership style that best qualify them to replace Blumenauer, an influential lawmaker who climbed to significant influence during his nearly 30 years in the U.S. House. All three are current or former elected officeholders with experience representing parts of Oregon’s 3rd Congressional District, which stretches from the Willamette River to Hood River.Eddy Morales, a Gresham city councilor and former Washington D.C.-based organizer, is emphasizing his plans to build affordable housing and overhaul the U.S. immigration system. Former Multnomah County Commissioner and corporate lawyer Susheela Jayapal says she’ll seek more federal investment for housing, homelessness services and climate change. State Rep. Maxine Dexter, a medical doctor whose district includes the west side of Portland, is calling for health care reforms as well as investment in housing, homelessness and clean energy.It’s likely the winner of the May 21 Democratic primary will cruise to election in November. Registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans in the district more than 3-to-1.The seat is open for the first time in a generation after Blumenauer, 75, announced his retirement last spring. He handily won reelection 13 times after his first successful campaign in 1996.If elected, the three front-runners all said they would join the Congressional Progressive Caucus, which is chaired by Jayapal’s sister, U.S. Rep. Pramila Jayapal of Washington.They also share support for the Green New Deal, reproductive rights and Medicaid for All, although Dexter says smaller reforms are first needed to pave the way for single-payer health care. So far, the candidates have found common ground in polite debates.But they say differing personal, professional and electoral track records set them apart in important ways.Dexter, 51, was raised in a working-class family in Washington state. She is a practicing critical care physician and pulmonologist in Kaiser Permanente hospitals and is in her second full term in the Oregon House. She is supported by Democratic state lawmakers, the American Medical Association and gun control advocacy groups.As the chair of the House Committee on Housing and Homelessness, Dexter helped pass major investments in affordable housing and rental assistance championed by Gov. Tina Kotek. She has also sponsored legislation that ramped up the distribution of a life-saving opioid overdose reversal medication and banned restaurants’ use of Styrofoam takeout containers.Jayapal, 61, was born in India and moved to the U.S. when she was 16 to attend college. She was general counsel for Adidas until 2000 and since served on a slew of nonprofit boards. She began representing Northeast Portland on the Multnomah County Commission in 2019.Jayapal pitches herself as a strong progressive and coalition-builder. As a county commissioner, she says she helped increase rent assistance for low-income families. She also pushed a program that helps residents replace wood stoves with climate-friendly heat pumps and enthusiastically supported the county’s $51 billion lawsuit against oil and gas companies over the deadly 2021 heat dome. Jayapal is endorsed by environmental groups, Multnomah County Commission Chair Jessica Vega Pederson and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.Morales, 44, was raised in Woodburn and Portland by an immigrant mother from Mexico. A gay man, he could be Oregon’s first out LGBTQ member of Congress. In the 5th District, Jamie McLeod-Skinner, a lesbian, is one of two Democrats seeking the party’s nomination.Morales spent more than a decade organizing voters and says he helped generate key support for the Affordable Care Act and youth immigrant “dreamers.” A city councilor in Gresham since 2019, he touts the city’s development of affordable housing complexes and a program to reduce youth gun violence during his tenure. He is endorsed by a bevy of labor unions, the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, Georgia voting rights advocate Stacey Abrams and nine state lawmakers.Campaign financeAs of March 30, the most recent data available, Jayapal had raised $611,000, the most of any candidate, federal records show. Morales had raised $494,000 and Dexter had pulled in $338,000. All three have raised funds from a mix of individual donors and liberal political committees, according to the nonprofit analysis site Open Secrets.Dexter, however, is buoyed by a notably mammoth $1.25 million from the 314 Action Fund, a political action committee that aims to elect progressives with backgrounds in science.No other committee is independently spending to support or oppose the other candidates, according to Open Secrets. Last year, some observers speculated that pro-Israel political groups would oppose Jayapal over her brief reluctance to condemn Hamas for the group’s Oct. 7 attack. Jayapal has since criticized Hamas while calling for a ceasefire amid Israel’s brutal response. Morales and Dexter offered similar statements this spring, and pro-Israel spending in the contest has not materialized.Sarah Bryner, director of research and strategy at Open Secrets, said spending could intensify as the primary approaches.Michael Jonas, a Portland attorney and owner of Rational Unicorn Legal Services, is also vying for the Democratic nomination. He has raised about $16,000 and touts endorsements from metro-area LGBTQ organizations, civic leaders and entrepreneurs. Other Democratic candidates are Ricardo Barajas, Nolan Bylenga and Rachel Lydia Rand.In the Republican primary, attorney Joanna Harbour has raised $6,000 in direct donations. A perennial candidate, she captured about a quarter of votes cast when running against Blumenauer in 2020 and 2022. Two other Republicans, Gary Dye and Teresa Orwig, are also running for the nomination.The 3rd District seat is up for grabs for the first time since 1996, when Blumenauer was first elected. He spent 28 years in the U.S. House and rose through the ranks to become a member of the influential Ways and Means committee, which writes tax bills and oversees government programs including Social Security and Medicare. He is a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.Any of the three front-runners would enter Congress with far less influence than Blumenauer. However, Jayapal said it’s “certainly possible” that constituents would benefit from her close relationship with her sister.“I think she can open doors for me. That is a reality,” she told The Oregonian/OregonLive.Susheela JayapalNakamuraEnvironmental championJayapal earned her law degree from the University of Chicago and worked for two decades as a financial analyst and corporate lawyer before stepping away from paid work to raise her children. Since 2000, she has held volunteer leadership roles at Planned Parenthood Columbia Willamette, the Oregon Community Foundation and other nonprofits.During her nearly five years on the Multnomah County Commission, Jayapal said, her influence was limited by the powerful role of the commission’s chair, who has wide latitude to steer the board’s agenda. She casts herself as a pragmatist who worked behind-the-scenes to fill funding gaps and help steer the county through the pandemic and intertwined crises of homelessness, behavioral health and addiction.Jayapal said she was an early proponent of long-term rental assistance, which can prevent residents from becoming homeless, and battled to pass a modest pay raise for employees at nonprofits that provide much of the county’s services for unhoused residents. She was a vocal critic of the Zenith Energy fossil fuel storage site in Northwest Portland and the use of leaded gasoline at Portland International Raceway.Jayapal has “real policy bonafides” and doesn’t mince words when advocating for climate action, said Damon Motz-Storey, director of the Oregon chapter of the Sierra Club, which endorsed her.“Those are the things that we look for in a climate leader,” they said.If elected, Jayapal said she would work to ramp up federal investment in affordable housing and rental assistance, which is often unavailable to residents because of high demand. Along with a Green New Deal and the establishment of a single-payer health care system, she calls for legislation to prevent deforestation and leaks of methane, a greenhouse gas responsible for 30% of global temperature rise.Maxine Dexter, a doctor in her second term in the Oregon House, says she would use her clinical experience as well as her successes building relationships in the state Legislature to increase her odds of accomplishing policy wins in Congress.Dave Killen / The OregonianData-driven doctorGrowing up, Dexter attended public schools and worked a unionized job in a grocery store. She graduated from the University of Washington’s medical school.She has worked as a doctor for more than 20 years. In 2020, she was appointed to fill a vacancy in the state Legislature. Dexter said her family currently lives slightly outside of the 3rd District but plans to move back in.Dexter said she has effectively pursued evidence-driven solutions to health policy, affordable housing and homelessness, climate change and other complex issues.“We can solve these problems if we have experts in the room,” she told The Oregonian/OregonLive editorial board.Dexter criticizes the role of for-profit companies in health care and recently sponsored a failed bill that would have limited the influence of private equity companies in owning medical practices or centers. In 2021, Dexter helped pass a law that directed the state health agency to study the creation of a public health insurance option serving more low-income Oregonians. That plan has come to fruition and will roll out in July.As chair of the House housing committee, Dexter advanced “some of the biggest housing reforms and housing investment packages this state has ever seen,” said former House Speaker Dan Rayfield, D-Corvallis, who endorsed her.If elected to Congress, Dexter would aim to simplify what she called an overly complicated health care system. She said her “ultimate goal” is advancing a single-payer health care system without causing “chaos” in the process. Dexter said she would also work to expand a federal low-income housing tax credit and seek federal funding for detox beds.Eddy Morales, a Gresham City Council member who spent about a decade working on political causes in Washington, D.C., said tragedies that left three of his siblings dead motivate him to fight to revise past policy failures.Mark Graves/The OregonianD.C., Oregon experienceOn the campaign trail, Morales stresses his family’s lived experience with policy failures. His two brothers died in gun violence and his sister died from opioid and alcohol addiction, he says.“These are the things that have really motivated me for the last 25 years,” Morales said.He touts his longtime work as an organizer for progressive causes. He has served as president of the Gresham City Council. Morales founded East County Rising, a political committee that works to engage voters in east Multnomah County, call attention to their priorities and promote candidates of color and other progressive candidates for local offices.He also served as treasurer of the Democratic Party of Oregon, including during the time when the party falsely reported its largest ever contribution, $500,000, came from a Nevada cryptocurrency funds processor instead of an executive at now-disgraced cryptocurrency firm FTX. Although Morales was not copied on the string of emails in which party officials agreed not to name the true donor, a state lawyer wrote that Morales “did not perform the necessary due diligence to confirm the accuracy of the contributor.”The state party returned the funds once criminal wrongdoing by FTX executives including Sam Bankman-Fried came to public attention, Morales noted. “I am glad he and his cronies have been found guilty and sentenced,” Morales said.Morales got his start advocating for farm workers as a student at the University of Oregon. Beginning with a stint as president of the United States Student Association, Morales was based for about a dozen years in Washington, D.C., a perch from which he advocated for the Affordable Care Act on behalf of the nonprofit Center for Community Change. He also mobilized Latino voters in the South and Southwest for The Democracy Alliance.“Eddy has a skill or a personality to motivate people, to engage people,” said Gresham City Councilor Dina DiNucci, who has endorsed his bid for Congress. He is also adept at building political alliances, she said.In Gresham, Morales helped advance two affordable housing complexes largely funded by Metro housing bonds: the 225-unit Rockwood Village and the 180-unit Wynne Watts Commons, which is billed as the largest net-zero energy, affordable housing complex in the region.As a member of Congress, Morales said he would work to fund multi-generational affordable housing and update first time homeownership grants that he says are outdated. He would also advance offshore wind development and work toward a comprehensive overhaul of the U.S. immigration system that reunites separated families and safeguards the asylum-seeking process, he said.-- Grant Stringer is a freelance journalist in Portland; stringer.grantj@gmail.com; @Stringerjourno

The winner of the May 21 Democratic primary is likely to cruise to victory in November, as registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the district by more than 3-to-1.

The trio of progressive Portland-area Democrats leading the race to succeed U.S. Rep. Earl Blumenauer in Congress are barely distinguishable from each other when it comes to policy positions.

But each of the candidates say they have a track record and leadership style that best qualify them to replace Blumenauer, an influential lawmaker who climbed to significant influence during his nearly 30 years in the U.S. House. All three are current or former elected officeholders with experience representing parts of Oregon’s 3rd Congressional District, which stretches from the Willamette River to Hood River.

Eddy Morales, a Gresham city councilor and former Washington D.C.-based organizer, is emphasizing his plans to build affordable housing and overhaul the U.S. immigration system. Former Multnomah County Commissioner and corporate lawyer Susheela Jayapal says she’ll seek more federal investment for housing, homelessness services and climate change. State Rep. Maxine Dexter, a medical doctor whose district includes the west side of Portland, is calling for health care reforms as well as investment in housing, homelessness and clean energy.

It’s likely the winner of the May 21 Democratic primary will cruise to election in November. Registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans in the district more than 3-to-1.

The seat is open for the first time in a generation after Blumenauer, 75, announced his retirement last spring. He handily won reelection 13 times after his first successful campaign in 1996.

If elected, the three front-runners all said they would join the Congressional Progressive Caucus, which is chaired by Jayapal’s sister, U.S. Rep. Pramila Jayapal of Washington.

They also share support for the Green New Deal, reproductive rights and Medicaid for All, although Dexter says smaller reforms are first needed to pave the way for single-payer health care. So far, the candidates have found common ground in polite debates.

But they say differing personal, professional and electoral track records set them apart in important ways.

Dexter, 51, was raised in a working-class family in Washington state. She is a practicing critical care physician and pulmonologist in Kaiser Permanente hospitals and is in her second full term in the Oregon House. She is supported by Democratic state lawmakers, the American Medical Association and gun control advocacy groups.

As the chair of the House Committee on Housing and Homelessness, Dexter helped pass major investments in affordable housing and rental assistance championed by Gov. Tina Kotek. She has also sponsored legislation that ramped up the distribution of a life-saving opioid overdose reversal medication and banned restaurants’ use of Styrofoam takeout containers.

Jayapal, 61, was born in India and moved to the U.S. when she was 16 to attend college. She was general counsel for Adidas until 2000 and since served on a slew of nonprofit boards. She began representing Northeast Portland on the Multnomah County Commission in 2019.

Jayapal pitches herself as a strong progressive and coalition-builder. As a county commissioner, she says she helped increase rent assistance for low-income families. She also pushed a program that helps residents replace wood stoves with climate-friendly heat pumps and enthusiastically supported the county’s $51 billion lawsuit against oil and gas companies over the deadly 2021 heat dome. Jayapal is endorsed by environmental groups, Multnomah County Commission Chair Jessica Vega Pederson and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Morales, 44, was raised in Woodburn and Portland by an immigrant mother from Mexico. A gay man, he could be Oregon’s first out LGBTQ member of Congress. In the 5th District, Jamie McLeod-Skinner, a lesbian, is one of two Democrats seeking the party’s nomination.

Morales spent more than a decade organizing voters and says he helped generate key support for the Affordable Care Act and youth immigrant “dreamers.” A city councilor in Gresham since 2019, he touts the city’s development of affordable housing complexes and a program to reduce youth gun violence during his tenure. He is endorsed by a bevy of labor unions, the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, Georgia voting rights advocate Stacey Abrams and nine state lawmakers.

Campaign finance

As of March 30, the most recent data available, Jayapal had raised $611,000, the most of any candidate, federal records show. Morales had raised $494,000 and Dexter had pulled in $338,000. All three have raised funds from a mix of individual donors and liberal political committees, according to the nonprofit analysis site Open Secrets.

Dexter, however, is buoyed by a notably mammoth $1.25 million from the 314 Action Fund, a political action committee that aims to elect progressives with backgrounds in science.

No other committee is independently spending to support or oppose the other candidates, according to Open Secrets. Last year, some observers speculated that pro-Israel political groups would oppose Jayapal over her brief reluctance to condemn Hamas for the group’s Oct. 7 attack. Jayapal has since criticized Hamas while calling for a ceasefire amid Israel’s brutal response. Morales and Dexter offered similar statements this spring, and pro-Israel spending in the contest has not materialized.

Sarah Bryner, director of research and strategy at Open Secrets, said spending could intensify as the primary approaches.

Michael Jonas, a Portland attorney and owner of Rational Unicorn Legal Services, is also vying for the Democratic nomination. He has raised about $16,000 and touts endorsements from metro-area LGBTQ organizations, civic leaders and entrepreneurs. Other Democratic candidates are Ricardo Barajas, Nolan Bylenga and Rachel Lydia Rand.

In the Republican primary, attorney Joanna Harbour has raised $6,000 in direct donations. A perennial candidate, she captured about a quarter of votes cast when running against Blumenauer in 2020 and 2022. Two other Republicans, Gary Dye and Teresa Orwig, are also running for the nomination.

The 3rd District seat is up for grabs for the first time since 1996, when Blumenauer was first elected. He spent 28 years in the U.S. House and rose through the ranks to become a member of the influential Ways and Means committee, which writes tax bills and oversees government programs including Social Security and Medicare. He is a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

Any of the three front-runners would enter Congress with far less influence than Blumenauer. However, Jayapal said it’s “certainly possible” that constituents would benefit from her close relationship with her sister.

“I think she can open doors for me. That is a reality,” she told The Oregonian/OregonLive.

A former Multnomah County commissioner and corporate lawyer, Susheela Jayapal has stood up for environmental policies and says the fact that her sister serves in Congress could give her added clout.

Susheela JayapalNakamura

Environmental champion

Jayapal earned her law degree from the University of Chicago and worked for two decades as a financial analyst and corporate lawyer before stepping away from paid work to raise her children. Since 2000, she has held volunteer leadership roles at Planned Parenthood Columbia Willamette, the Oregon Community Foundation and other nonprofits.

During her nearly five years on the Multnomah County Commission, Jayapal said, her influence was limited by the powerful role of the commission’s chair, who has wide latitude to steer the board’s agenda. She casts herself as a pragmatist who worked behind-the-scenes to fill funding gaps and help steer the county through the pandemic and intertwined crises of homelessness, behavioral health and addiction.

Jayapal said she was an early proponent of long-term rental assistance, which can prevent residents from becoming homeless, and battled to pass a modest pay raise for employees at nonprofits that provide much of the county’s services for unhoused residents. She was a vocal critic of the Zenith Energy fossil fuel storage site in Northwest Portland and the use of leaded gasoline at Portland International Raceway.

Jayapal has “real policy bonafides” and doesn’t mince words when advocating for climate action, said Damon Motz-Storey, director of the Oregon chapter of the Sierra Club, which endorsed her.

“Those are the things that we look for in a climate leader,” they said.

If elected, Jayapal said she would work to ramp up federal investment in affordable housing and rental assistance, which is often unavailable to residents because of high demand. Along with a Green New Deal and the establishment of a single-payer health care system, she calls for legislation to prevent deforestation and leaks of methane, a greenhouse gas responsible for 30% of global temperature rise.

Four people site in adjoining chairs on a stage in a debate setup

Maxine Dexter, a doctor in her second term in the Oregon House, says she would use her clinical experience as well as her successes building relationships in the state Legislature to increase her odds of accomplishing policy wins in Congress.Dave Killen / The Oregonian

Data-driven doctor

Growing up, Dexter attended public schools and worked a unionized job in a grocery store. She graduated from the University of Washington’s medical school.

She has worked as a doctor for more than 20 years. In 2020, she was appointed to fill a vacancy in the state Legislature. Dexter said her family currently lives slightly outside of the 3rd District but plans to move back in.

Dexter said she has effectively pursued evidence-driven solutions to health policy, affordable housing and homelessness, climate change and other complex issues.

“We can solve these problems if we have experts in the room,” she told The Oregonian/OregonLive editorial board.

Dexter criticizes the role of for-profit companies in health care and recently sponsored a failed bill that would have limited the influence of private equity companies in owning medical practices or centers. In 2021, Dexter helped pass a law that directed the state health agency to study the creation of a public health insurance option serving more low-income Oregonians. That plan has come to fruition and will roll out in July.

As chair of the House housing committee, Dexter advanced “some of the biggest housing reforms and housing investment packages this state has ever seen,” said former House Speaker Dan Rayfield, D-Corvallis, who endorsed her.

If elected to Congress, Dexter would aim to simplify what she called an overly complicated health care system. She said her “ultimate goal” is advancing a single-payer health care system without causing “chaos” in the process. Dexter said she would also work to expand a federal low-income housing tax credit and seek federal funding for detox beds.

Eddy Morales

Eddy Morales, a Gresham City Council member who spent about a decade working on political causes in Washington, D.C., said tragedies that left three of his siblings dead motivate him to fight to revise past policy failures.Mark Graves/The Oregonian

D.C., Oregon experience

On the campaign trail, Morales stresses his family’s lived experience with policy failures. His two brothers died in gun violence and his sister died from opioid and alcohol addiction, he says.

“These are the things that have really motivated me for the last 25 years,” Morales said.

He touts his longtime work as an organizer for progressive causes. He has served as president of the Gresham City Council. Morales founded East County Rising, a political committee that works to engage voters in east Multnomah County, call attention to their priorities and promote candidates of color and other progressive candidates for local offices.

He also served as treasurer of the Democratic Party of Oregon, including during the time when the party falsely reported its largest ever contribution, $500,000, came from a Nevada cryptocurrency funds processor instead of an executive at now-disgraced cryptocurrency firm FTX. Although Morales was not copied on the string of emails in which party officials agreed not to name the true donor, a state lawyer wrote that Morales “did not perform the necessary due diligence to confirm the accuracy of the contributor.”

The state party returned the funds once criminal wrongdoing by FTX executives including Sam Bankman-Fried came to public attention, Morales noted. “I am glad he and his cronies have been found guilty and sentenced,” Morales said.

Morales got his start advocating for farm workers as a student at the University of Oregon. Beginning with a stint as president of the United States Student Association, Morales was based for about a dozen years in Washington, D.C., a perch from which he advocated for the Affordable Care Act on behalf of the nonprofit Center for Community Change. He also mobilized Latino voters in the South and Southwest for The Democracy Alliance.

“Eddy has a skill or a personality to motivate people, to engage people,” said Gresham City Councilor Dina DiNucci, who has endorsed his bid for Congress. He is also adept at building political alliances, she said.

In Gresham, Morales helped advance two affordable housing complexes largely funded by Metro housing bonds: the 225-unit Rockwood Village and the 180-unit Wynne Watts Commons, which is billed as the largest net-zero energy, affordable housing complex in the region.

As a member of Congress, Morales said he would work to fund multi-generational affordable housing and update first time homeownership grants that he says are outdated. He would also advance offshore wind development and work toward a comprehensive overhaul of the U.S. immigration system that reunites separated families and safeguards the asylum-seeking process, he said.

-- Grant Stringer is a freelance journalist in Portland; stringer.grantj@gmail.com; @Stringerjourno

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Bumblebee nests are overheating to fatal levels, study finds

More frequent heatwaves mean bees are unable to thermoregulate their hives – further endangering a species already in declineBumblebee nests may be overheating, killing off broods and placing one of the Earth’s critical pollinators in decline as temperatures rise, new research has found.Around the world, many species of Bombus, or bumblebee, have suffered population declines due to global heating, the research said. Bumblebee colonies are known for their ability to thermoregulate: in hot conditions, worker bees gather to beat their wings and fan the hive, cooling it down. But as the climate crisis pushes average temperatures up and generates heatwaves, bumblebees will struggle to keep their homes habitable. Continue reading...

Bumblebee nests may be overheating, killing off broods and placing one of the Earth’s critical pollinators in decline as temperatures rise, new research has found.Around the world, many species of Bombus, or bumblebee, have suffered population declines due to global heating, the research said. Bumblebee colonies are known for their ability to thermoregulate: in hot conditions, worker bees gather to beat their wings and fan the hive, cooling it down. But as the climate crisis pushes average temperatures up and generates heatwaves, bumblebees will struggle to keep their homes habitable.Most bumblebee broods would not survive at temperatures above 36C, the paper, published in Frontiers in Bee Science, concluded. The research team reviewed 180 years of literature, and found that for all bumblebee species studied the optimum temperature range for incubating nests was between 28C and 32C.Peter Kevan, the lead author of the study, told the Guardian: “If [bumblebees] can’t keep temperatures below what is probably a lethal limit of about 35C, when the brood may die, that could explain why we are losing so many bumblebees around the world, especially in North America and Europe.”Bumblebees have suffered population declines around the world due to global heating. Photograph: Rebecca Cole/AlamyKevan, who is a professor emeritus at the University of Guelph’s School of Environmental Sciences in Canada, added that the research examined the often-overlooked role of the nest as a “superorganism”.“Researchers have been looking at foraging behaviour and fanning to keep the brood cool, but there are very few studies that look at the whole nest,” he said. The study argued that nests should be seen as a whole: while some individual bees may be able to cope with heat, if the nest becomes too hot to raise healthy larvae the whole colony will decline.Dave Goulson, a professor of biology at the University of Sussex, who was not involved in the research, said: “We have known for a long time that bumblebees are cool-climate specialists. Most insects are more abundant in the tropics, but bumblebees are weird in that they are at their most abundant in places like the Alps and Britain.”They are big and furry as an adaptation to living in cooler places, he said. “There are even some that live in the Arctic, the Bombus polaris. That means an obvious problem with climate change – they are vulnerable to warming.”When nests overheat, he added, bumblebees work to cool them by flapping their wings, “but if the air outside is too hot, that’s not going to help”.Goulson said there is already evidence that bumblebees have started to disappear from the warmer edges of their range. “There have been publications showing mountain bumblebees are moving higher as a way to combat warming, but obviously there is a limit to that.”The paper’s findings, said Goulson, who has spent 30 years studying bumblebees, are “really depressing”. “It is kind of heartbreaking to think that many may disappear.”Other studies, he said, suggest that the UK “might lose about half our bumblebee species in coming years, depending on the pace of climate change”. Their populations had been declining due to habitat loss, Goulson said. “Now, [with rising temperatures] we have a double whammy.”Bumblebees are important pollinators of wildflowers and crops. Photograph: Rebecca Cole/AlamyRichard Comont, the science manager at Britain’s Bumblebee Conservation Trust, also not part of the study, said he was glad to see the new research. “It’s something that there has been speculation about for a while,” he said.Bumblebees are important pollinators of wild flowers and crops including tomatoes, runner beans, apples, blueberries, blackcurrants and raspberries. For other pollinators, Goulson said, the outlook under a hotter climate is less clear. Some bee species can cope with warmer temperatures, and some species that now live farther south may move north as temperatures rise, making a new home in the UK. With other pollinators, he said, such as flies, wasps, butterflies, birds and bats, “it’s hard to generalise”.To stem declines, increasing habitats and decreasing pesticide use could help, Goulson said – but really, “we need to knuckle down” and make sure global temperatures “do not go past 2C” of heating.Find more age of extinction coverage here, and follow biodiversity reporters Phoebe Weston and Patrick Greenfield on X for all the latest news and features

Klamath River Reservoirs Drained for World’s Largest Dam Removal Project

The Klamath River dam removal, spanning from 2023 to 2024, marks the largest project of its kind aimed at restoring riparian habitats by dismantling four...

Satellite image of Klamath River reservoirs captured on December 23, 2023, by the Operational Land Imager-2 on Landsat 9.Satellite image of Klamath River reservoirs captured on February 25, 2024, by the Operational Land Imager-2 on Landsat 9.The Klamath River dam removal, spanning from 2023 to 2024, marks the largest project of its kind aimed at restoring riparian habitats by dismantling four major dams.The Klamath River in southern Oregon and northern California is now running freer. In late 2023 and early 2024, four of the six dams along the river were breached and reservoirs drained. These actions were part of an effort to restore hundreds of miles of riparian habitat. It is thought to be the largest dam removal project in history.Historical Background and Project RationaleThe four dams—Iron Gate, Copco No. 1, Copco No. 2, and J.C. Boyle—were built between 1918 and 1962 to generate electricity. Facing steep costs to modernize them in the early 2000s, the utility that owned the dams opted for deconstruction instead. In addition to removing aging infrastructure, the project is expected to eliminate the ecosystem and human health risks posed by toxic algae, which has regularly reached harmful levels in the reservoirs since 2005. Restoration efforts will focus on revegetating hundreds of acres and reinvigorating fish populations in what was once the third most productive river for salmon on the West Coast. Early Stages of Dam RemovalThe first dam to be removed, Copco No. 2, was also the smallest; that project wrapped up in September 2023. Copco No. 2 did not impound a reservoir but rather diverted the river’s flow through a tunnel system to a powerhouse downstream.More-visible changes would come later, after the upper image was acquired with the OLI-2 (Operational Land Imager-2) on Landsat 9 on December 23, 2023. At that time, the Iron Gate, Copco No. 1, and J.C. Boyle (upstream and not in view) dams were still holding back water. Drawdown of the Iron Gate Reservoir began on January 11, 2024, followed by the controlled release of water from Copco Lake and J.C. Boyle Reservoir.Visible Changes and Environmental ImpactBy February 15, the initial phase of drawdown was complete, according to a news release from the Klamath River Renewal Corporation (KRRC), the organization managing the project. The result is evident in the second image (lower), acquired with the OLI-2 on Landsat 9 on February 25. A river channel meanders through the beds of the drained reservoirs.The KRRC estimated that 5 million cubic yards of sediment previously held behind dams would travel downstream during this drawdown phase. Scientists expect the release of sediment early in the project to degrade water quality in the near term, increasing turbidity and lowering dissolved oxygen content. “The river is undoing a century of being impacted by these dams, and that may look messy right now,” said NOAA fisheries biologist Shari Witmore in a statement.Long-Term Ecological BenefitsA steady supply of river sediment will help build up habitat for organisms downstream, transport nutrients, and replenish coastlines over the long term. The Klamath is one of many river systems, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, to have gone without many of these benefits for decades. A recent analysis of Landsat and hydrological data found that 20th-century dam building in North America, Europe, and Asia has halved the global delivery of suspended sediment from rivers to the oceans relative to pre-dam conditions.Researchers have documented rapid and long-lasting ecological gains following other dam removal and river restoration projects, such as the one on the Elwha River in Washington state in the 2010s. To jumpstart restoration on the Klamath, NOAA Fisheries, the Bureau of Reclamation, tribes, and other partners are conducting controlled water releases from dams farther upstream to maximize the movement of sediment and minimize impacts to fish.Ongoing Restoration and Future PlansIn the coming months, the three remaining dam structures will be completely disassembled. The removal of Copco No. 1, a concrete arch dam, began in March; Iron Gate and J.C. Boyle, both earthen dams, will be deconstructed after the spring runoff period. The removal of all three is slated to be complete before the fall Chinook salmon run. Restoration of the approximately 1,300 acres that were previously underwater has already begun with the dispersal of climate-adapted seeds collected throughout the watershed.NASA Earth Observatory images by Michala Garrison, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological Survey.

Smothered by Seaweed: Sargassum Wreaks Havoc on Caribbean Ecosystems

Its growth driven to epic levels by climate change and fertilizer runoff, sargassum puts dozens of species — and people — at risk. The post Smothered by Seaweed: Sargassum Wreaks Havoc on Caribbean Ecosystems appeared first on The Revelator.

Originally published by Centro de Periodismo Investigativo with The BVI Beacon, The Virgin Islands Daily News, America Futura – El País América, Jamaica and the RCI Guadeloupe. For more than 20 years, Mexican biologist María del Carmen García Rivas has led a crusade to protect the coral lining the Yucatan Peninsula in the Caribbean Sea. As director of the Puerto Morelos Reefs National Park in México, she has advocated for reforms to reduce runoff and other pollution from coastal development. She has spearheaded efforts to control lionfish, an introduced species that has put at risk the nearly 670 species of marine fauna that inhabit the park. And since 2018, she has organized brigades to restore reefs damaged by tissue-destroying coral diseases known as white syndromes. But now, yet another threat has been keeping her awake at night: massive blooms of sargassum seaweed reaching the coast of the park. “When the sargassum, a macroalgae that usually floats, reaches the coasts, it begins to decompose, generating an environment without oxygen that kills different organisms,” she said. “It mainly affects species that cannot move or move very little, such as some starfish, sea urchins, the sea grasses themselves, and of course corals.” Along the coast of Quintana Roo, the Mexican state where the Puerto Morelos Reefs National Park is based, the local government collected 70 tons of sargassum during 2023 alone, said Huguette Hernández Gómez, the state’s Secretary of Ecology and Environment. Added to what they collected during the last four years, the figure reaches 200 tons. Regional Problem This story is familiar across the Caribbean. Though modest amounts of sargassum benefit marine life in the region, massive influxes arriving since 2011 have upset the ecological balance in some areas in ways that could be irreversible. Scientists blame the explosive growth of the seaweed on global pollution, climate change, and other international problems that Caribbean islands did little to cause and lack the political power to resolve. The seaweed has exacerbated existing stress on the region’s reefs, which last year faced a massive bleaching event linked also to warming waters associated with climate change. Exposure to extreme temperatures for extended periods breaks down the relationship between the corals and the algae living inside of them. Corals are left pale or white, and the lack of food from algae can lead them to die, according to the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Sargassum mats have also blocked sea turtle nesting sites and inundated mangroves, which serve as crucial nurseries for countless aquatic species. Birds feed on small fish caught in seaweed mat along the South-Eastern coast of the Portmore Causeway in St. Catherine, Jamaica on May 2, 2023.Photo by Kirk Wright | Television Jamaica In some areas, beaches have been eroded by the seaweed and by the heavy machinery used to remove it. Many fishers complain that their catch has dwindled sharply. But because of the magnitude of the relatively recent problem — which is affecting coastlines from West Africa to the Americas — the true extent of the environmental damage is poorly understood, according to Dr. Brian LaPointe, a biologist and sargassum expert at Florida Atlantic University. “We haven’t gotten very far in the research to understand the causes or how to deal with it and manage and mitigate the impacts on the environment,” LaPointe said. Second Largest Barrier Reef The effects that García Rivas has seen in Mexico illustrate the implications for the entire region. The park she oversees is part of the Mesoamerican Barrier Reef System, which stretches along more than 600 miles of coastline in Mexico, Belize, Guatemala and Honduras. As the second longest barrier reef in the world — only the Great Barrier Reef in Australia is longer, at about 1,400 miles — the Mesoamerican Barrier Reef is home to some 500 species of fish and 60 species of stony corals, according to the World Wildlife Fund. It also supports the livelihoods of one to two million people in the region, the WWF states. Floating sargassum can provide a healthy habitat, but when it washes against the shore in mass quantities it often suffocates certain organisms, said James Foley, director of oceans for The Nature Conservancy. “In coastal areas like Belize, the problem is further exacerbated by the fact that the sargassum also attracts a lot of marine rubbish: local garbage that runs off from the rivers that come into the Caribbean from Central America. So it ends up being a pretty toxic environment,” he said. The sargassum also creates a barrier that blocks light and prevents organisms below it from photosynthesizing, according to Foley. A 2021 study published in the scientific journal Climate Change Ecology, which analyzed the situation in three bays in Quintana Roo, Mexico, found that under the sargassum mats the light seepage decreased up to 73% and the water temperature could be as much as 5 degrees Celsius warmer. Bacterial Diseases In addition, García Rivas said, bacteria carried by the sargassum may be affecting the corals as well. “Some of the diseases suffered by the corals could be related to all the bacteria brought in by the sargassum or that arise during its decomposition,” she said. “Although it becomes an environment without oxygen, there are bacteria that may be able to survive, affecting not only the corals but also generating fish mortality.” Such effects exacerbate existing threats to the reef, she said, noting that the worst historical damage has come from coastal development and inadequate management of sewage and other waste. “In general, contaminated seawater does not allow corals to live properly,” she said. “It weakens them. And when they present diseases or are stressed by heat, it is easier for them to die.” A similar scenario has played out in Jamaica, according to Dr. Camilo Trench, a marine biologist at the University of the West Indies in Jamaica. “The problem is that the seaweed grows fast and the corals grow slowly,” Trench said. “So if the sargassum is in the area with other macroalgae, it can overgrow the coral reef area quite quickly. So now it will not only reduce the space that the corals will have to grow: It will also reduce the settlement area of the coral nursery.” Sargassum Smothers Other Species Coral might be one of the most visible animals affected by sargassum, but is not the only one. A study published in the Marine Pollution Bulletin analyzed a massive sargassum influx that swamped the shores of the Mexican Caribbean in 2018, decomposing and turning the water cloudy. As a result, the researchers found, organisms from 78 wildlife species died. The worst affected were demersal neritic fish, which live at the bottom of shallow areas of the sea, and crustaceans. Other scientists have raised concerns about sargassum’s effects on turtle nests. In 2017, Briggite Gavio, a professor of marine biology at the National University of Colombia, visited Cayo Serranilla, a tiny 600-by-400-meter island at the northernmost tip of the Colombian Caribbean. The island is only inhabited by military personnel and it’s a perfect place for sea turtles to nest.   View this post on Instagram   A post shared by Sargassum Monitoring® (@sargassum_monitoring) But when Gavio was there as part of a scientific expedition, sargassum had formed a mat up to 40 centimeters (16 inches) high on the beaches. “We were able to observe that some turtle hatchlings had trouble getting past the barrier posed by the sargassum mat, and were vulnerable to predation by ghost crabs, rats and other predators,” she wrote in a 2018 paper about her observations. Similar observations about the effects of sargassum in sea turtles have been made by scientists on other islands such as Antigua and Barbuda. Killing Mangroves, Too Sargassum also appears to have a potentially lethal impact on Caribbean mangroves, an important natural barrier for extreme hurricanes. “These are plants that live on the seashore and are tidal plants, but they depend on their aerial roots and their respiratory roots, which are underground, for oxygen,” said Trench, the biologist in Jamaica. “Now imagine a mat covering those roots and preventing oxygen from flowing through them. It can definitely cause death if it is long-term and similar to the impact of something like oil slicks on the mangrove or litter, such as solid waste.” As with corals, mangroves sometimes end up smothered, sustaining damage themselves and putting at risk other species that depend on them. No ‘Virtuous Circle’ For García Rivas, the biologist in Mexico, one fact is particularly alarming: Unlike many other problems facing the reefs she oversees, the sargassum influx has no clear solution. “We haven’t come up with a virtuous circle as we have, for example, with lionfish,” she said. “Despite being an invasive species, [lionfish] can be fished and eaten, which mitigates the problem.” Local Government Looks for Solutions Faced with this problem, last year the state of Quintana Roo created a committee of 60 experts from different areas that worked for seven months to help create what is now known as the Integral Strategy for the Management and Use of Sargassum in Quintana Roo. The strategy covers eight areas: health; research and monitoring; knowledge management, processes and logistics; utilization; legal framework; economic instruments and cross-cutting axes. Its key advances include designating the state of Quintana Roo as the authority in charge of granting permits to researchers and companies working to turn sargassum into a product. “The state government is the one that gives all the permits for issues ranging from transportation, collection to final destination. With that we avoid that companies are going around in circles between whether to ask the federal or municipal government where to acquire the permits,” said Hernández Gómez, the ecology and environment secretary.   View this post on Instagram   A post shared by Ronald Lusk (@ronaldlusk) The response is costly. Last year, she said, the Secretariat of the Navy was assigned about $3 million to collect sargassum at sea using its ships and anchorage barriers, while the Federal Maritime Terrestrial Zone was assigned about $7 million more to collect it from beaches. In Quintana Roo, through the Secretariat headed by Hernandez Gómez, another $1.7 million is coming in to address the problem. “And this year that investment will be maintained,” she said. This investigation is the result of a fellowship awarded by the Center for Investigative Journalism’s Training Institute and was made possible in part with the support of Open Society Foundations. Read the rest of the stories in this series. Previously in The Revelator: New Hope for Horseshoe Crabs — and the Shorebirds That Depend on Them The post Smothered by Seaweed: Sargassum Wreaks Havoc on Caribbean Ecosystems appeared first on The Revelator.

Why climate change action requires "degrowth" to make our planet sustainable

Salon spoke with Japanese philosophy professor Kohei Saito about his new book, "Slow Down: The Degrowth Manifesto"

Climate change truly is a major existential threat, one we're clearly not addressing fast enough. But as individuals, there's little we can do to stop it on a grand scale — it will require global cooperation to overcome. Nonetheless, the accompanying feelings of helplessness when faced with such a daunting crisis can make many feel paralyzed with despair. So what can be done? "Slow Down: The Degrowth Manifesto," a new book from University of Tokyo philosophy professor Kohei Saito, offers more than a diagnosis of the systemic problems that brought us to this moment; it lays out, in clear and well-researched language, how those problems can be thoroughly addressed. In 2020, when "Slow Down" was originally published in Japan, it went by the far more fitting title "Capital in the Anthropocene" — with "Anthropocene" being the proposed geological era that began when human activity started radically altering natural conditions on the planet. "My idea is really not state socialism, but associated model production." Saito's argument, as translated by Brian Bergstrom, is that climate change exists because humans as a species prioritize economic growth instead of economic sustainability. Capitalism itself, Saito asserts, is unsustainable. Even though well-meaning liberal politicians like to push for Green New Deals in the hope of continuing non-stop economic growth without the consequent ecological harm, Saito argues capitalist societies need to perpetually consume resources to remain prosperous. As a result, capitalism itself inevitably brings about planet-wide problems like climate change, habitat destruction, plastic pollution and other environmental issues. The only solution is for humanity as a whole to slow down our obsession with work, productivity and materialism. Notably, Saito stresses that the bulk of the burden to consume less falls on the wealthiest among us. Saito doesn't take credit for these observations. Philosopher Karl Marx developed a philosophy in the 1860s that Saito describes as "eco-Marxist" (particularly in Saito's previous work, "Karl Marx's Eco-Socialism"). While the German philosopher's early works like "The Communist Manifesto" urged the working class to insist on receiving its fair share of the benefits of industrialism, Marx's later writings praised Indigenous peoples in the Americas, India and Algeria for living in communes that stressed sustainable environmental practices. As such, "Slow Down" is that rare hybrid among ideological manifestos: It opens new insights into an existing ideology while uplifting something distinct of its own. Salon spoke with Saito about "Slow Down" and the relationship climate change has to economics. This interview has been lightly edited for clarity and length. For those who are totally unfamiliar with the works of Karl Marx, can you please explain how one must distinguish between his early works and the later works that you describe as "eco-Marxism"?  Marxism is known for socialism, and socialism is often described as the exploitation of the working class. Capitalism has a tendency to increase technologies and promote innovations because of market competition. But Marx thought that once the workers take over power and kick out the capitalists, they can utilize the development of productive forces for the sake of themselves — more wealth, more well-being. But there is one problem: Sustainability. Because as Marx started to study natural sciences later in the 1850s and 1860s, he came to realize the development of technologies in capitalism actually don't create a condition for emancipation of the working class. Because not only do those technologies control the workers more efficiently, they destabilize the old system of jobs and make more precarious, low skilled jobs. At the same time those technologies exploit from nature more efficiently and create various problems such as exhaustion of the soil, massive deforestation, and the exhaustion of the fuels, and so on. Marx came to realize that this kind of technology undermines material conditions for sustainable development of human beings. And the central concept for Mark at that time in the sixties is metabolism. He thinks that this metabolic interaction between humans and nature is quite essential for any kind of society, but the problem of capitalism is it really transforms and organizes this entire metabolism between humans and nature for the sake of profit-making. Technologies are also used for this purpose. So technologies are not for the purpose of creating better life, free time and sustainable production, but rather it exploits workers and nature at the same time for the sake of more growth, more profit, and so on. My point is basically Marx was quite optimistic when he was young in terms of the development of technologies, but later he came to realize actually technologies have more damaging impact on both humans and nature. So he became more critical of that possibility of solving those problems of poverty and ecological problems using technology. That's how the issue of degrowth and eco-socialist ideas came to be central for his ideas. Want more health and science stories in your inbox? Subscribe to Salon's weekly newsletter Lab Notes. "We used to believe that it's impossible for the state or for the society to intervene in the market and say, 'You know, we shouldn't be making profit because human lives are more important or nature is more important.' But in the middle of the pandemic, we did this." There's another distortion in Marxist thought, what you described as "the monster known as Stalinism." What ideological corrections do you offer to the Marxist model to avoid a repetition of history?  So I advocate for a kind of eco-socialism, that kind of socialism that is more sustainable, that is not based on exploitation of nature. Because in the 20th century, Stalinism and other kinds of socialist experiments was a disaster. It was un-democratic. It was a dictatorship of the Communist Party, but at the same time it was also destruction of the environment. I think their ideas were rather based on the development of progress through technology, and productive force is the condition for the working class emancipation. And the most efficient way of developing these technologies and productive forces is the monopoly of the means of production by the bureaucrats and the party. It just created a kind of the central planning, which is very top-down and authoritarian and anti-democracy. At the same time, they didn't care about the environment, so it basically destroyed nature. In Marx's later works, he quite intensively studied natural sciences. He also studied at the same time other societies, non-Western societies, that were more sustainable. He came to realize that these societies were not driven toward endless growth. They were communally managing land. They were also democratically redistributing wealth. So he came to realize that more of a kind of bottom-up management of the commonwealth is good for people and creates a more equal society. It's also good for the environment. It was more sustainable because that's why those [Indigenous] societies lasted for many, many years. In America, they lasted many, many years before those people coming to conquer the land. Marx came to recognize that not necessarily Western societies are more progressive in creating a better society for the workers, but rather Western society also need to learn from non-Western societies. This is another very radical transformation for Marx in his late years. But then he came to realize not a top-down Soviet style dictatorship is necessary for the sake of establishing socialism, but rather more democratic, horizontal management of commonwealth lands, water, forests and other resources. That is quite essential for creating a better society. And he actually uses the term association — not socialism or communism. He often describes the future society with "association." And so my idea is really not state socialism, but associated model production. This is why I still use the term "communism," because the society based on capital is capitalism and a society based on the commonwealth, the democratic management of commonwealth is actually to be called "communism." Could you elaborate on how the degrowth philosophy that you say has been implemented in locations like Quito, Ecuador or Barcelona, Spain, as well as during the COVID-19 pandemic. My book, originally in Japanese, was published like three years ago, so it was published in the middle of pandemic. Japan is also a captive society and it's a very conservative society. I didn't expect that this call for going back to Marx and reviving the tradition of communism combined with new idea of degrowth would attract so much attention and interest from people. But it was, I think, because of the pandemic, that we came to recognize how destructive our economic activities were. It was obviously deforestation and that kind of thing. Ugly business was a main cause of the pandemic. Now at the same time, the climate crisis was deepening. So it was a moment we saw how our daily life was quite clearly destructive, but at the same time, we had to stop the economy for the sake of protecting our lives. Shutting down departments, shopping malls and restaurants and so on. We used to believe that it's impossible for the state or for the society to intervene in the market and say, "You know, we shouldn't be making profit because human lives are more important or nature is more important." But in the middle of the pandemic, we did this. We came to realize that these things are actually possible. And once we started working from home, once we stopped taking trains and going to hang out with people, buying new clothes all the time and so on, we came to realize, 'Why did we consume so much? Why did we work so hard?' The pandemic created some kind of space for reflection upon our previous life, the massive consumption, massive production, and massive waste. This is really the moment when the degrowth idea appeared more attractive, because people could spend more time with family, friends — not necessarily friends because of the pandemic, but maybe with friends — they could read more books and newspapers, and they enjoyed different ways of life that are not necessarily consumptionist.  "The solution to some kind of environmental damage was simply externalized to somewhere else. It was shifted basically to the global south." At the same time, a new crisis is coming — the climate crisis — and it will accelerate inflation. It will create a bigger economic inequality. And various natural disasters will also create a food shortage, which might lead to various kinds of conflicts. Geopolitical tension will increase, and so on. My claim in my book is basically this crisis cannot be simply overcome by investing in new green technologies. It is like early Marx: We overcome the crisis of capitalism by technologies, the state should intervene, the Green New Deal must be new investments, blah, blah, blah. But I don't think that works. My idea is basically we need to learn from the experience of the pandemic — that capitalist society is driven for the sake of creating more profit, not necessarily able to provide what is necessary. Because what is necessary, like medicine and education and hospital masks and so on — are not necessarily profitable. Capitalism doesn't produce what is necessary unless it is profitable. This gap creates disparities for us to tackle. My idea is basically degrowth is focusing on what is necessary rather than what is profitable. We should share more with the commonwealth like public transportation, the education system, the medical care system. These necessary things, essential goods, must be shared more equally instead of some rich people monopolizing all the wealth of the planet.  Can you explain the "Netherlands Fallacy" — namely, the idea that the Netherlands proves that socialism can be ecologically sustainable and prosperous. Can you elaborate on why that is indeed a fallacy?  I don't know why it's really the Netherlands. It can be the U.S. Fallacy or whatever, but it's traditionally called the Netherlands Fallacy. The Netherlands had some environmental pollution and basically they overcame this issue with new technologies. Everything seems fine, but the problem is this fallacy. The solution to some kind of environmental damage was simply externalized to somewhere else. It was shifted basically to the global south. One contemporary example is electronic vehicles, EVs, which are today very important; Tesla making massive profits, and so on. For the sake of a decarbonized society, I totally agree that we need more electronic vehicles and we need to produce them more, and that gasoline should be abandoned as fast as possible. I totally agree. But the problem is, are electric vehicles totally sustainable?  "This is open to misunderstanding that degrowth denies technology to try to go back to nature or something like that. This is absurd." The answer is obviously no. It is not just that usage of electric vehicles still consumes electricity, which might be produced by using fossil fuels, but the problem is — instead of fossil fuels — we also need a lot of rare metals: Lithium, copper, cobalt. And those rare metals are often located in the global south: Latin America, China, Russia, Africa and so on. And in these places now, the extraction of metals are creating very poor working conditions for even children. Child labor is obviously a problem in Congo, where a lot is massively extracted, but also the problem of environmental pollution, massive deforestation and the lithium use uses a lot of water. Chile is now suffering by wildfires, but they are also suffering from drought. And then mining lithium consumes a lot of water when people actually need water for their lives, and also for producing food, and so on.  People like us and affluent people in the global north can continue a very comfortable life by buying new electric vehicles like Tesla instead of Toyota. And they think that, "Okay, we did something good for the environment. I feel my responsibility for the next generations and so on." They are actually falling into this fallacy of believing their sustainability. No, they're not. Their behavior is not sustainable because the real problem is only hidden: massive extraction of the lithium in the global south. It's still causing quite a damaging impact upon people and the environment. So the metabolism between humans and nature, it's still distorted and disrupted in a quite serious manner. And my idea of degrowth is not a negation of technology. We need electric vehicles. I repeat again because this is open to misunderstanding that degrowth denies technology to try to go back to nature or something like that. This is absurd, but at the same time, I clearly want to say that there are too many cars. We need to shift to a society where we share electric vehicles with neighbors. So sharing cars. And we also need to invest in more green technologies like public transportation and also bicycles. And the bicycles of today are kind of dangerous because all the roads are created for the sake of cars. So the city urban planning is centering around all industries, and that needs to be challenged, that needs to change. And these are idea that degrowth will create a more eco-friendly, pedestrian friendly kind of society. The new kind of fair mobility is a central idea of degrowth. But this is just one example we need. My basic point is that often technologies simply hide the true environmental impacts, and we needed technological development, but at the same time, we need to reduce our excessive consumption. Otherwise we will fall into the Netherlands Fallacy.  I'm reading a book by billionaire philanthropist, Tom Steyer, who argues for more traditional approaches to addressing climate change: Funding green technologies, pushing voter registration drives, supporting a Green New Deal platform. Do you think there is anything fundamentally flawed about approaches for dealing with climate change when they come from billionaires or from others in the elite classes?  Yes. I don't actually deny some kind of Green New Deal, but not a Green New Deal for people like the American people. Because my idea of sustainability is more comprehensive. It includes the people in the global south. So greening or decarbonization in the U.S. can be achieved at the cost of people in the global south, and that doesn't make sense, right? And the same thing can be said within the U.S. The green transformation for the sake of billionaires could be achieved at the cost of many people in the global south. Minority indigenous people could be sacrificed for the sake of sustaining today's capitalism. What do I mean by this? Growth is always good for billionaires. They say, "Okay, we'll invest more in something good — green technologies — and it will grow the economy. And then all the poor people working class people will also benefit from growth." Growth actually hides the necessity of redistribution. When we talk about redistribution and compensation or reparation, billionaires needs to give up some of what they have gained. Not just wealth, but also private jets, massive houses and cruise ships and those luxury items, too. But when we invest in green technologies, flying jets can be sustainable, blah, blah, blah. And they also don't have to redistribute their own wealth because the entire pie of the economy will be bigger, so that the working class can also gain higher salaries and so on. My idea of degrowth is much more challenging because the degrowth doesn't seek after continuous growth of the economic pie.  When the pie doesn't grow, we need to share more. So it really clearly demands the massively distribution of the wealth from the rich people to the poor people. But also we should give up what is actually unnecessary. I claim that, but the most obvious example is private jets. Private jets are unnecessary because people can still fly with business class or whatsoever. So my point is, rich people should give up their wealth, rich people should give up private jets and so on, other unnecessary things. And when people now talk about the Green New Deal, they hide the necessity of such a radical transformation of our lifestyle for the sake of everyone. Read more about climate change

Quantifying the “Carbon Gap” – Unmasking the Shortfalls in Global Climate Efforts

Insufficient carbon dioxide removal efforts jeopardize meeting the Paris Agreement’s climate goals, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced technologies and strategies. New research suggests that...

Research indicates that existing plans for carbon dioxide removal are inadequate for meeting the Paris Agreement’s 1.5 ºC warming limit. Enhanced awareness and action are required to close the significant gap between projected increases and the needs identified in IPCC focus scenarios.Insufficient carbon dioxide removal efforts jeopardize meeting the Paris Agreement’s climate goals, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced technologies and strategies.New research suggests that countries’ current plans to remove CO2 from the atmosphere will not be enough to comply with the 1.5 ºC warming limit set out under the Paris Agreement.Since 2010, the United Nations environmental organization UNEP has taken an annual measurement of the emissions gap — the difference between countries’ climate protection pledges and what is necessary to limit global heating to 1.5 ºC, or at least below 2 ºC. The UNEP Emissions Gap Reports are clear: climate policy needs more ambition. This new study now explicitly applies this analytical concept to carbon dioxide removal (CDR) — the removal of the most important greenhouse gas, CO2, from the atmosphere.The study, published today (May 3) in the journal Nature Climate Change, was led by the Berlin-based Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) and involved an international team of scientists.“In the Emissions Gap Reports, carbon removals are only accounted for indirectly,” said lead author Dr. William Lamb, of the MCC Applied Sustainability Science working group.“After all, the usual benchmark for climate protection pledges is net emissions, ie emissions minus removals. We are now making transparent the specific ambition gap in scaling up removals.“This planetary waste management will soon place completely new requirements on policymakers and may even become a central pillar of climate protection in the second half of the century.”Co-author Dr. Naomi Vaughan, of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at UEA, added: “Carbon dioxide removal methods have a small but vital role to play in achieving net zero and limiting the impacts of climate change.“Our analysis shows that countries need more awareness, ambition, and action on scaling up CDR methods together with deep emissions reductions to achieve the aspirations of the Paris Agreement.”According to the study, if national targets are fully implemented, annual human-induced carbon removals could increase by a maximum of 0.5 gigatonnes of CO2 (500 million tonnes) by 2030, and by a maximum of 1.9 gigatonnes by 2050.This contrasts with the 5.1 gigatonne increase required in a ‘focus scenario’, which the research team depicts as typical from the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment report.There, global heating, calculated over the entire course of this century, is limited to 1.5 ºC, and a particularly rapid expansion of renewable energies and reduction of fossil emissions is depicted as the core climate protection strategy.But, the focus scenario still relies on scaling up carbon removals. The gap for the year 2050 is therefore at least 3.2 gigatonnes of CO2 (5.1 minus a maximum of 1.9).An alternative focus scenario, also derived from the IPCC, assumes a significant reduction in global energy demand, due to politically initiated behaviour changes as the core element of climate protection strategy.Here, carbon removals would increase by a more modest amount: 2.5 gigatonnes in 2050. Fully implemented national targets would be close to sufficient when compared to this scenario, with a gap in 2050 of 0.4 gigatonnes.The research team points out the problem of sustainability limits in scaling up carbon removals; for example, the associated land area demand will come to jeopardise biodiversity and food security. Nevertheless, there is still plenty of room for designing fair and sustainable land management policies.In addition, novel carbon removal options, such as air filter systems, or ‘enhanced rock weathering’, have hardly been promoted by politicians to date.They currently only remove 0.002 gigatonnes of CO2 per year from the atmosphere, compared to 3 gigatonnes through conventional options such as afforestation, and they are unlikely to significantly increase by 2030. According to the scenarios, they must become more prevalent than conventional options by 2010.Since only 40 countries have so far quantified their removal plans in their long-term low emissions development strategies, the study also draws on other national documents and best-guess assumptions.“The calculation should certainly be refined,” said Dr. Lamb. “But our proposal using the focus scenarios further opens the discourse on how much carbon removal is necessary to meet the Paris Agreement.“This much is clear: without a rapid reduction in emissions towards zero, across all sectors, the 1.5 ºC limit will not be met under any circumstances.”Reference: “The carbon dioxide removal gap” by Lamb, W, Gasser, T, Roman-Cuesta, R, Grassi, G, Gidden, M, Powis, C, Geden, O, Nemet, G, Pramata, Y, Riahi, K, Smith, S, Steinhauser, J, Vaughan, N, Smith, H, Minx, J, 3 May 2024, Nature Climate Change. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-01984-6

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